In previous posts on the subject of super mortality, I've prognosticated a bit on where the current technology can put us with regard to rejuvenation. In Love Post Supermortality I described a time where humans will be able to pay for and receive "intra genetic revigoration" that allows them to essentially age in reverse as their cellular repair mechanisms are restored system wide over a period of weeks or months.
This morning I was thinking about what happens when this type of treatment is widely available. What will be the average age to which people revert themselves if it is possible to chose an age? Will all chose to be as young as possible?
I propose that the age people will revert to the most can be inferred by taking a sufficient poll today of what age a person would chose to be reverted to if given the choice after they've become an adult. So the poll would include people aged from 25 and greater, and pose the question:
"If you could be reverted to the physical age of any time in your adult life, where would you like to dial back to?"
The answer to this question in a poll taken in the current era will give us the solution to where most people will want to be once super mortality is a standard business. As I posed in the previous blog post I put this industry being quite developed by 2036 but the age when most people are routinely revigorated won't come until at least 20 years later around 2060. During this time, humanity will appear to have a much smaller variance across age...with a bell curve that is highly singular about a mean that stands over the age given as answer to the question above, my guess it will be in the mid 20's for most people as that will probably be the age they remember being their most fit and vigorous.
What ever the number is, I hypothesize it will be predicted by the average answer of the results of a poll given today, the reason there should be invariance between answers for now and then is that many of the people who will be subject to revigoration are alive today, in particular the demographic that will be just beyond middle age in 24 years will be a particularly large part of the aging global population in 2036 so it's difficult to see why they would change their estimate especially as they get older and realize the effects of aging.
The poll can be done now easily but we'll have to wait 24 years to find out if the hypothesis is correct. Let's hope he technology is refined and waiting for us as we wait. ;)
This morning I was thinking about what happens when this type of treatment is widely available. What will be the average age to which people revert themselves if it is possible to chose an age? Will all chose to be as young as possible?
I propose that the age people will revert to the most can be inferred by taking a sufficient poll today of what age a person would chose to be reverted to if given the choice after they've become an adult. So the poll would include people aged from 25 and greater, and pose the question:
"If you could be reverted to the physical age of any time in your adult life, where would you like to dial back to?"
The answer to this question in a poll taken in the current era will give us the solution to where most people will want to be once super mortality is a standard business. As I posed in the previous blog post I put this industry being quite developed by 2036 but the age when most people are routinely revigorated won't come until at least 20 years later around 2060. During this time, humanity will appear to have a much smaller variance across age...with a bell curve that is highly singular about a mean that stands over the age given as answer to the question above, my guess it will be in the mid 20's for most people as that will probably be the age they remember being their most fit and vigorous.
What ever the number is, I hypothesize it will be predicted by the average answer of the results of a poll given today, the reason there should be invariance between answers for now and then is that many of the people who will be subject to revigoration are alive today, in particular the demographic that will be just beyond middle age in 24 years will be a particularly large part of the aging global population in 2036 so it's difficult to see why they would change their estimate especially as they get older and realize the effects of aging.
The poll can be done now easily but we'll have to wait 24 years to find out if the hypothesis is correct. Let's hope he technology is refined and waiting for us as we wait. ;)
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